Thursday, October 19, 2006

Why has Bush bought 150 square miles in northern Paraguay? (Hellie)

Paraguay is a landlocked country in South America, with a population of 6 million. It's one of the least densely populated countries, and has a super-high Gini index. Back in the day, its economy was dominated by a small number of landlords, with big loads of the population squatting on the fringes of their huge estates. The Gini index (the standard measure of income inequality) is predictably high -- 56, by comparison the US is at 45, France at 32, Brazil at 59.

Sounds like a great place for disgraced dictators to hide out.

Apparently also the US has been planning to put up an air base near the Bolivian gas fields, near to Mariscal Estigarribia, close to the Brazilian and Bolivian borders.

Which of these facts best explains this intriguing news item?

An Argentine official regarded the intention of the George W. Bush family to settle on the Acuifero Guarani (Paraguay) as surprising, besides being a bad signal for the governments of the region.

Luis D Elia, undersecretary for the Social Habitat in the Argentine Federal Planning Ministry, issued a memo partially reproduced by digital INFOBAE.com, in which he spoke of the purchase by Bush of a 98,842-acre farm in northern Paraguay, between Brazil and Bolivia.

The news circulated Thursday in non-official sources in Asuncion, Paraguay.

D Elia considered this Bush step counterproductive for the regional power expressed by Presidents Nestor Kirchner, Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, Evo Morales, Hugo Chavez and Fidel Castro.

He said that "it is a bad signal that the Bush family is doing business with natural resources linked to the future of MERCOSUR."

The official pointed out that this situation could cause a hypothetical conflict of all the armies in the region, and called attention to the Bush family habit of associating business and politics.

As for me,

Well since my last personal post, I do not think to much has changed. The weather is gradually getting colder and you can feel winter peaking around the corner. I try and stay busy via hiking, fishing, biking and the large amount of reading that comes with Grad School. Last Friday I went to a party that was mostly parents (because it was homecoming and that is a big deal here) at first untill later in the night when the parents left. I had brought my backpack because I had tequilla and a extra jacket and my numerous accesseries for my bike. So the party went on and at about one a.m. or so we left to go downtown to get a night cap! I then realized that someone had stolen my backpack....the interesting thing however...was they removed all by biking stuff...I guess friendly theives. So it was not a big deal because it was a old bag. I wake up early the next morning and realize that my flash drive (memory disk) with two finsihed projects was in the bag. This led to my wonderful weekend of redoing my 14 page paper and GIS project all day Saturday.
On Tuesday playing in my soccer game, I thought I hurt my knee bad. I woke up yesterday, called the school doctor and a friend to give me a ride. Luckily, because I could not imagine a winter with no skiing, it looks like I just twisted or sprained my knee. No swealing but annoying enough I had to use a crutch yesterday. Hopefully it heals fast because the intermural tournament starts next week, if it has not healed I will just have to go and chear.
Besides those two exciting stories life is still the same. Hiking, Biking and Fishing!!!
The world is very crazy right now and hopefully we can make a difference and change this coming election. I will say, I am glad that my vote will be in Montana because it seems democrats in Texas will never have a chance at the national offices, for the most part. If only Kinky could really pull it off!!! Well thats all for now, enjoy the different political and new post to come!!

Peace, Love and Courage
TY
Check out today's and yesterday's post from Juan Cole's blog. Defenitly very good and informative about Iraq.

http://www.juancole.com/
Editorial
A Dangerous New Order
Once President Bush signed the new law on military tribunals, administration officials and Republican leaders in Congress wasted no time giving Americans a taste of the new order created by this unconstitutional act.

Within hours, Justice Department lawyers notified the federal courts that they no longer had the authority to hear pending lawsuits filed by attorneys on behalf of inmates of the penal camp at Guantánamo Bay. They cited passages in the bill that suspend the fundamental principle of habeas corpus, making Mr. Bush the first president since the Civil War to take that undemocratic step.

Not satisfied with having won the vote, Dennis Hastert, the speaker of the House, quickly issued a statement accusing Democrats who opposed the Military Commissions Act of 2006 of putting “their liberal agenda ahead of the security of America.” He said the Democrats “would gingerly pamper the terrorists who plan to destroy innocent Americans’ lives” and create “new rights for terrorists.”

This nonsense is part of the Republicans’ scare-America-first strategy for the elections. No Democrat advocated pampering terrorists — gingerly or otherwise — or giving them new rights. Democratic amendments to the bill sought to protect everyone’s right to a fair trial while providing a legal way to convict terrorists.

Americans will hear more of this ahead of the election. They also will hear Mr. Bush say that he finally has the power to bring to justice a handful of men behind the 9/11 attacks. The truth is that Mr. Bush could have done that long ago, but chose to detain them illegally at hidden C.I.A. camps to extract information. He sent them to Guantánamo only to stampede Congress into passing the new law.

The 60 or so men at Guantánamo who are now facing tribunals — out of about 450 inmates — also could have been tried years ago if Mr. Bush had not rebuffed efforts by Congress to create suitable courts. He imposed a system of kangaroo courts that was more about expanding his power than about combating terrorism.

While the Republicans pretend that this bill will make America safer, let’s be clear about its real dangers. It sets up a separate system of justice for any foreigner whom Mr. Bush chooses to designate as an “illegal enemy combatant.” It raises insurmountable obstacles for prisoners to challenge their detentions. It does not require the government to release prisoners who are not being charged, or a prisoner who is exonerated by the tribunals.

The law does not apply to American citizens, but it does apply to other legal United States residents. And it chips away at the foundations of the judicial system in ways that all Americans should find threatening. It further damages the nation’s reputation and, by repudiating key protections of the Geneva Conventions, it needlessly increases the danger to any American soldier captured in battle.

In the short run, voters should see through the fog created by the Republican campaign machine. It will be up to the courts to repair the harm this law has done to the Constitution.

Via the New York Times Editorial

Texan Friend of Bush
Rips Iraq War

by Paul Sperry

A former Department of Homeland Security official who also worked for George W. Bush in Texas says his old friend exaggerated the threat from Saddam Hussein and only made America less safe by attacking Iraq.

Before serving as Bush's first Homeland Security inspector general, Clark Kent Ervin worked for the former governor in Texas as assistant secretary of state and deputy attorney general. He also was an aide in Bush Sr.'s White House last decade.

Ervin says it was the "thrill of a lifetime" to return to Washington to work for "a man I counted as a friend." He was a Bush loyalist, to be sure.

But then his old pal invaded Iraq in the middle of a war on Osama bin Laden and al-Qaeda, and Ervin feared the worst. He saw special forces, intelligence assets, and other resources diverted to an unnecessary war, buying time for bin Laden to regroup on the Afghanistan-Pakistan border. At the same time, he worried the unjustified Iraq war would inspire more anti-American jihadists and enlarge the recruiting pool for bin Laden.

His fears were recently confirmed by the U.S. intelligence community in a partially declassified report on Iraq, which concludes the U.S. occupation there is the "cause célèbre" among jihadists around the world.

"The war in Iraq has actually increased the pool of violently anti-American Islamic fundamentalists from whom al-Qaeda and like-minded groups can recruit jihadists to strike our homeland," laments Ervin, author of Open Target: Where America Is Vulnerable to Attack.

He says bin Laden might be in custody today if Bush had stayed focused on al-Qaeda and not sent troops to a false front in Iraq, where al-Qaeda wannabes are now getting on-the-job training in how to kill Americans.

"Had we stayed on the hunt in Afghanistan and not diverted time, attention, and resources to an exaggerated threat in Iraq, Osama bin Laden might be dead or in custody today," Ervin says. "And Iraq might not have become a terrorist training camp and recruiting ground."

He asserts that al-Qaeda is, and always has been, the real threat to America; Saddam and his Ba'athist bullies had been declawed in the first Iraq war.

Finished at http://www.antiwar.com/sperry/?articleid=9886
Bush Accepts Iraq-Vietnam Comparison
George Stephanopoulos Interviews President Bush on Iraq, the Midterms and His Legacy

By ED O'KEEFE

WASHINGTON, Oct. 18, 2006 — President Bush said in a one-on-one interview with ABC News' George Stephanopoulos that a newspaper column comparing the current fighting in Iraq to the 1968 Tet offensive in Vietnam, which was widely seen as the turning point in that war, might be accurate.

Stephanopoulos asked whether the president agreed with the opinion of columnist Tom Friedman, who wrote in The New York Times today that the situation in Iraq may be equivalent to the Tet offensive in Vietnam almost 40 years ago.

"He could be right," the president said, before adding, "There's certainly a stepped-up level of violence, and we're heading into an election."

"George, my gut tells me that they have all along been trying to inflict enough damage that we'd leave," Bush said. "And the leaders of al Qaeda have made that very clear. Look, here's how I view it. First of all, al Qaeda is still very active in Iraq. They are dangerous. They are lethal. They are trying to not only kill American troops, but they're trying to foment sectarian violence. They believe that if they can create enough chaos, the American people will grow sick and tired of the Iraqi effort and will cause government to withdraw."

Bush said he could not imagine any circumstances under which all U.S. troops would be withdrawn from Iraq before the end of his presidency.

"You mean every single troop out? No," he told Stephanopoulos.

Bush also had some tough words for Democrats, saying that pulling troops from Iraq would be the equivalent of surrender.

"If we were to leave before the job is done, in my judgment, the al Qaeda would find a safe haven from which to attack. This is exactly what they said," Bush said. The president insisted he was not disparaging his opponents.

"It's not questioning their patriotism. I think it's questioning their judgment," he said....

More at http://abcnews.go.com/WNT/story?id=2583579

Tuesday, October 17, 2006

Wal-Mart's Rapidly Shrinking Benefits

By Cindy Zeldin, TomPaine.com. Posted October 17, 2006.

The mega-store is sinking to a new low by further limiting health insurance options for its lowest-paid employees.
In what seems to be an emerging annual ritual, an internal Wal-Mart memo detailing employee benefit cuts recently surfaced. According to news reports, Wal-Mart plans to limit its 2007 health insurance options for new hires to two choices, both high deductible plans, in an effort to squeeze benefit costs.

While it isn't news that Wal-Mart's benefits are skimpy -- and Wal-Mart certainly isn't the only employer looking to trim its health care costs -- the mega-retailer's abandonment of traditional health insurance in favor of high-deductible health insurance takes the benefits squeeze to a whole new level: it puts a dagger through the heart of the very concept of insurance.

Wal-Mart's health insurance options for 2007, dubbed the "value plan" and the "freedom plan," feature deductibles reaching as high as $6,000 for family coverage under the "freedom plan" -- meaning that a Wal-Mart employee selecting that plan would have to fork over $6,000 before insurance started covering their family's medical bills. That's a lot of money for a cashier earning Wal-Mart wages, and it begs some serious questions about how a deductible that high can be met without going into debt.

According to an analysis by Wake-Up Wal-Mart, which supplied the internal corporate memo to the media, a full-time Wal-Mart worker could spend as much as 60 percent of his or her income on family health expenses before reaching the out-of-pocket maximum. Of course, most workers will be relatively healthy most of the time and won't incur health expenses quite so high in any given year. As a result, while serious financial hardship will occur among some Wal-Mart workers who become ill, it won't be the norm. And for Wal-Mart, that fact is the key to their cost-cutting benefits strategy.

In a backdoor way, Wal-Mart's strategy is to do what many insurers have always done: get into the game of cherry-picking. Insurance companies have long been aware that one of the best ways to turn a profit is to enroll people with low health risk. Large nationwide employers, however, have never really been in the game of hiring workers based on health status. Typically, ability to perform the job in question is the deciding factor, making Wal-Mart's entry into the cherry-picking game revolutionary. And as the nation's largest private employer, Wal-Mart's employee benefit decisions will reverberate throughout the economy.

Full Article At: http://www.alternet.org/story/43094/

Forced evacuations point to lawless state

By Fatih Abdulsalam

Azzaman, October 15, 2006

The failure to halt the forced evacuation of people on sectarian grounds in Baghdad is yet another indication that the situation in the country is out of control.

It points to the fact that the centers of power in Baghdad are isolated from their surroundings and that their only trappings of power are their futile statements and political rhetoric.

Nearly four years after the U.S.-led occupation, Baghdad is a wild city. Government and U.S. troops have failed to develop a civilized system of government.

The troops, both Iraqi and American, heavily rely on military operations and raids, which they conduct day and night, in their policing of Baghdad.

Despite the overwhelming evidence of the failure of these techniques, both sides are apparently adamant to proceed with them.

Therefore, instead of turning Baghdad into a success story for the rest of the country to follow, the city has become one of the most violent places in the world.

We believe that without government implication, forced evacuations on this large-scale will be impossible to take place amid the presence of tens of thousands of Iraqi soldiers and U.S. Marines.

We cannot accept claims by the authorities that the troops are not strong enough to have Baghdad under control and put an end to the current carnage.

Many Iraqis now believe both the government and the occupiers have hidden agendas and conditions on the ground are the best proof, they say.

Those wanting to create a new, civil and democratic Iraq must have first set their eyes closely to have Baghdad secured by turning it into an example of social justice and security.

Instead, they have divided Baghdad into ‘terrorist’ quarters and ‘loyal’ districts and began implementing a murderous and bloody liquidation under official or semi-official policies.

The result has been massive displacement of people in Baghdad to the extent that certain quarters have been emptied of their original inhabitants.

These policies are doomed to failure and even the most of tyrannical regimes in the world have found them futile.

It is Baghdad, stupid. So long as Baghdad does not enjoy peace, the rest of Iraq will not have it. Baghdad has always been Iraq’s mirror of failure or success.

Tuesday, October 17, 2006

130 Killed in Wave of Sectarian Attacks

Bush called Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki on Monday to reassure him that it was not true that the US planned to dump him if he had not produced better results in two months.

Bush hasn't dumped Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld, who has not produced better results for 3 years, so al-Maliki need not have worried.

Shiite militia reprisal killings against Sunni Arabs in the largely Shiite town of Balad north of Baghdad continued on Monday. 91 Sunnis have been randomly killed by Shiite death squads since Saturday. Other Sunni families have been ethnically cleansed and forced to take refuge in Dhuluiyyah. The rampage was provoked by the murder of 17 Shiite laborers at nearby Dhuluiyah on Friday. What is amazing is that Iraqi police and military forces seem to just be standing aside and letting the bloodletting and attacks go on. Either they are collaborating or afraid, and either way they are not doing their jobs. As long as they don't, the bloodletting in Iraq, which is killing 200,000 a year, will go on.

In addition to the further killings in Balad, of some 20 or 30 persons, Reuters reports another 50 deaths from political violence throughout the country, including 20 (some reports say 30) dead from two major bombings in the capital. Also, police found 63 bodies in the capital on Monday. Some 40 of them were found in the Sunni Arab districts and were presumably Shiites, while about 20 were found in Shiite districts and were probably Sunni Arabs. Monday's war of the corpses in the capital appears to be a response to the murders of Sunnis by Shiite death squads at Balad.

A transcript of my appearance on the Lehrer News Hour Monday evening is here. I called for a phased withdrawal of US troops because I despair of getting Shiites and Kurds to compromise with Sunni Arabs in any other way. I realize that they still might not compromise, but at least there is a chance they would come to their senses if they couldn't have the Marines keep their enemies down for them.

Iraq at home:

Iraq vet Tammy Duckworth has a fighting chance of occupying Henry Hyde's seat in Congress.

Michigan media ignored Jim Marcinkowski, the Democratic candidate for congress facing Republican Congressman Mike Rogers. Marcinkowski, a career intelligence officer with a background in law, is passionate about what the Bush administration has done to the US Constitution. But he could not get a hearing unless he bought one. But that is a chicken and an egg proposition; if he had a hearing, he could have perhaps raised more money. The lazy US media, most often owned by Republicans or lacking in public spirit, shouldn't be permitted just to ignore a whole congressional race to the benefit of a well-heeled incumbent.
posted by Juan .... www.juancole.com

Monday, October 16, 2006

Funny Story of the weekend.....Real news, next two posts


Eco-Vandals Free Mink From Spain Farms


Email this Story

Oct 15, 1:41 PM (ET)

By DANIEL WOOLLS

MADRID, Spain (AP) - Vandals broke into three mink farms in northwestern Spain and freed more than 15,000 of the prized, furry animals, officials said Sunday.

The raiders - believed to be environmental activists - acted under cover of darkness late Saturday in three towns in Galicia, which has about 80 mink farms.

The operation was so well organized that the vandals propped boards on the walls to help animals scale them and placed fish outside the walls as bait to keep them going, said Maria Dolores Sendon, a police official in the town of Muros.

"This was not a prank," she said in a telephone interview. "It was very well planned."

There has been no claim of responsibility and no arrests have been made, said Jose Benito Reza, a conservation official with the Galician regional government.

An estimated 5,000 mink were released from their cages at a farm in Muros, and about 2,000 of them made it outside the walled farm compound, Sendon said.

The biggest raid was at a farm in the town of Oza dos Rios, where some 11,000 of the animals were allowed to scurry out of their cages, and about half made it outside the walls, according to the farm's owner, Charo Carrillo.

She gave no figure for financial losses but told the national news agency Efe that the raid meant "20 years of work to create a high-quality product have been ruined."

Carrillo said that most of those that got away will probably starve to death in a matter of days because they were raised in captivity and do not know how to hunt or fish.

Spain raises about 400,000 mink a year, and 80 percent of them are bred in Galicia, according to a Barcelona-based animal rights group called the Fundacion Altarriba.

Sendon said other mink farms have been hit by eco-raiders but these were the first such incidents in these three towns in the coastal province of La Coruna.

Last year animal rights activists freed 30,000 mink from a farm near the regional capital, Santiago de Compostela, and painted graffiti on the wall to claim responsibility.

Benito Reza said the people who freed the latest batch "did them no favor whatsoever" because they cannot survive in the wild and that the mink are ornery carnivores who might attack other animals and birds.

He also warned people against trying to catch the fugitives, saying they are likely to get bitten and should instead call a police emergency telephone number.

Sunday Violence Leaves 94 Iraqis Dead; 8 US Troops Dead in Weekend Attacks

Updated at 7:20 p.m. EDT, Oct. 15, 2006

In today’s news from Iraq, at least 94 Iraqis died or were reported dead. Another 89 were injured in violent acts throughout the country. Also, two American soldiers died today in Anbar Province, three American soldiers died yesterday near Baghdad, and a Multi-National Division soldier reportedly died Friday night, also near Baghdad.

U.S. officials announced that two Marines died from enemy action today in Anbar Province. Three more U.S. soldiers died on Saturday, and a Multi-National Division-Baghdad soldier died Friday night. The three were killed in a roadside bombing south of Baghdad, and the MND soldier died in a separate incident near the capital. This brings the weekend total up to eight American deaths. A Marine and an airman were also killed in separate incidents reported yesterday.

In the Capital this morning, Interior Ministry undersecretary Hala Shakir Salim survived a roadside bomb attack; however, three bodyguards and four bystanders were killed. The Ministry runs the Iraqi police forces. A separate bomb attack on a passing convoy of security contractors killed two. Another roadside bomb wounded two civilians in eastern Baghdad. A separate roadside bomb killed one and injured two in the Amil district. Also, bomb blast on Ghadir Street injured five.

In Kirkuk, there were at least six bomb blasts, including one at the all-girls al-Mallimin high school. There, suicide bomber detonated bombs strapped to his body; ten people, including two girls, were killed. A different suicide bomber targeted the Facilities Protection Service’s convoy; five were killed and ten were wounded in that attack. Another suicide bomber detonated his cargo in a marketplace in a southern part of the city; three were killed and eight injured. Early estimates place the total number of wounded at more than 70.

In Balad, 20 more bodies were found in addition to the 26 found yesterday. They are believed to be in retaliation for the murder of 17 Shi’ites on Friday.

In Mosul, gunmen stormed a home. A married couple and their two sons were killed. Their two daughters-in-law were injured. In a separate home invasion, three women and two men were killed. Gunmen also killed a policeman........More from the faljowing URL: http://www.antiwar.com/updates/?articleid=9866

Why Aren’t We Shocked?

“Who needs a brain when you have these?”

— message on an Abercrombie & Fitch T-shirt for young women

In the recent shootings at an Amish schoolhouse in rural Pennsylvania and a large public high school in Colorado, the killers went out of their way to separate the girls from the boys, and then deliberately attacked only the girls.

Ten girls were shot and five killed at the Amish school. One girl was killed and a number of others were molested in the Colorado attack.

In the widespread coverage that followed these crimes, very little was made of the fact that only girls were targeted. Imagine if a gunman had gone into a school, separated the kids up on the basis of race or religion, and then shot only the black kids. Or only the white kids. Or only the Jews.

There would have been thunderous outrage. The country would have first recoiled in horror, and then mobilized in an effort to eradicate that kind of murderous bigotry. There would have been calls for action and reflection. And the attack would have been seen for what it really was: a hate crime.

None of that occurred because these were just girls, and we have become so accustomed to living in a society saturated with misogyny that violence against females is more or less to be expected. Stories about the rape, murder and mutilation of women and girls are staples of the news, as familiar to us as weather forecasts. The startling aspect of the Pennsylvania attack was that this terrible thing happened at a school in Amish country, not that it happened to girls.

The disrespectful, degrading, contemptuous treatment of women is so pervasive and so mainstream that it has just about lost its ability to shock. Guys at sporting events and other public venues have shown no qualms about raising an insistent chant to nearby women to show their breasts. An ad for a major long-distance telephone carrier shows three apparently naked women holding a billing statement from a competitor. The text asks, “When was the last time you got screwed?”

An ad for Clinique moisturizing lotion shows a woman’s face with the lotion spattered across it to simulate the climactic shot of a porn video.

We have a problem. Staggering amounts of violence are unleashed on women every day, and there is no escaping the fact that in the most sensational stories, large segments of the population are titillated by that violence. We’ve been watching the sexualized image of the murdered 6-year-old JonBenet Ramsey for 10 years. JonBenet is dead. Her mother is dead. And we’re still watching the video of this poor child prancing in lipstick and high heels.

What have we learned since then? That there’s big money to be made from thongs, spandex tops and sexy makeovers for little girls. In a misogynistic culture, it’s never too early to drill into the minds of girls that what really matters is their appearance and their ability to please men sexually.

A girl or woman is sexually assaulted every couple of minutes or so in the U.S. The number of seriously battered wives and girlfriends is far beyond the ability of any agency to count. We’re all implicated in this carnage because the relentless violence against women and girls is linked at its core to the wider society’s casual willingness to dehumanize women and girls, to see them first and foremost as sexual vessels — objects — and never, ever as the equals of men.

“Once you dehumanize somebody, everything is possible,” said Taina Bien-Aimé, executive director of the women’s advocacy group Equality Now.

That was never clearer than in some of the extreme forms of pornography that have spread like nuclear waste across mainstream America. Forget the embarrassed, inhibited raincoat crowd of the old days. Now Mr. Solid Citizen can come home, log on to this $7 billion mega-industry and get his kicks watching real women being beaten and sexually assaulted on Web sites with names like “Ravished Bride” and “Rough Sex — Where Whores Get Owned.”

Then, of course, there’s gangsta rap, and the video games where the players themselves get to maul and molest women, the rise of pimp culture (the Academy Award-winning song this year was “It’s Hard Out Here for a Pimp”), and on and on.

You’re deluded if you think this is all about fun and games. It’s all part of a devastating continuum of misogyny that at its farthest extreme touches down in places like the one-room Amish schoolhouse in normally quiet Nickel Mines, Pa.

Thursday, October 12, 2006

i-Pod flashmobbers dance in their hundreds at station

Hundreds of people descended on Liverpool Street station for the biggest ever turnout for the latest internet craze - mobile clubbing.

Armed with MP3 players loaded with favourite tracks the "clubbers" arrived on the concourse just after 7pm last night. Students, business people and office workers danced in silence as they listened to their iPods among commuters listening to announcements about late trains.

Details of the time and venue were sent by email. The event is similar to the flash mobbing movement pioneered in New York which involved large numbers of people gathering to conduct bizarre activities.

One commuter said: "It was entertaining if strange to see all these people gyrating to their own beat. It was the Soul Train arriving at platform one."

Via http://www.dailymail.co.uk

Wednesday, October 11, 2006

Wednesday, October 11, 2006

655,000 Dead in Iraq since Bush Invasion

It is a big news day. Don't miss my interview with veteran Iraq reporter Rajiv Chandrasekaran, below.

Among other things, on Tuesday guerrillas blew up a bakery in Baghdad and killed and wounded a lot of people; police found over 50 bodies in the streets of the capital; guerillas claimed to have hit a US ammunition depot with mortar shells, setting off huge explosions that rocked Baghdad for hours but were not known to have killed anyone; and 5 US soldiers were reported killed in separate incidents.

But the big news is a big new Johns Hopkins study published in The Lancet that suggests that the US misadventure in Iraq is responsible for setting off the killing of twice as many civilians as Saddam managed to polish off in 25 years.

A careful Johns Hopkins study has estimated that between 420,000 and 790,000 Iraqis have died as a result of war and political violence since the beginning of the US invasion in March, 2003.

Interesting conclusions are that we are wrong to focus so much on suicide car bombings. The real action is just shooting enemies down with bullets. Only 30 percent of the deaths have been caused by the US military, and that percentage has declined this year because of the sectarian war.

And, folks, this is a major civil war, with something close to 200,000 dying every year.

I once warned that a precipitate US withdrawal could result in a million dead a la Cambodia or Afghanistan. Little did I know that the conditions created by the US invasion and occupation have all along been driving toward that number anyway!

This study is going to have a hard ride. In part it is because many of us in the information business are not statistically literate enough to judge the sampling techniques. Many will tend to dismiss the findings as implausible without a full appreciation of how low the margin of error is this time. Second, it is a projection, and all projections are subject to possible error, and journalists, being hardnosed people, are wary of them.

The New York Times report has already made a serious error, saying that deaths in the Saddam period were covered up. The families interviewed knew whether their loved ones were disappearing in 2001 and 2002 and had no reason to cover it up if they were. The survey established the baseline with a contemporary questionnaire. It wasn't depending on Iraqi government statistics.

Another reason for the hard ride is that the Republican Party and a significant fraction of the business elite in this country is very invested in the Iraq War, and they will try to discredit the study. Can you imagine the profits being made by the military-industrial complex on all this? Do they really want the US public to know the truth about what the weapons they produce have done to Iraqis? When you see someone waxing cynical about the study, ask yourself: Does this person know what a chi square is? And, who does this person work for, really?

Then Anthony Cordesmann told AP that the timing and content of the study were political. But is he saying that 18,000 households from all over Iraq conspired to lie to Johns Hopkins University researchers for the purpose of defeating Republicans in US elections this November? Does that make any sense? And, if Cordesmann has evidence that the authors and editor set their timetable for completion and publication according to the US political calendar, he should provide it. If he cannot, he should retract.

Ironically enough, the same journalists who will question this study will accept without query the estimates for deaths in Darfur, e.g., which are generated by exactly the same techniques, and which are almost certainly not as solid.

The study concludes that an average of 470 Iraqis per day have likely died as a result of political violence since March 19, 2003, though the number could be as low as 350 per day if the margin of error skewed to the low side. United Nations estimates based on figures from Iraqi morgues are more like 100 per day.

I follow the violence in Iraq carefully and daily, and I find the results plausible.

More from: http://www.juancole.com/


Socialism Is Alive and Well ... in Vietnam

By Frank Joyce, AlterNet. Posted October 11, 2006.

Vietnam is mentioned in the news quite often these days. But the references are almost always in relation to Iraq. What's not being covered is what's going on in Vietnam itself -- which is unfortunate, because economically, politically and socially, it might just be the most interesting and inspiring nation on the planet.

In the interest of full disclosure, my affection for Vietnam goes way back. As an anti-war activist I met with Vietnamese liaisons to the anti-war movement on several occasions. In 1970 I visited Hanoi and was profoundly impressed with the character and resolve of the people, not to mention the beauty of the country itself. Even then, during wartime, the food was terrific, too.

It still is, as I discovered earlier this year when I returned to Vietnam. The people are open, friendly and confident, just as they were before. But now, not only is the war over, Vietnam is the second-fastest-growing economy in the world. (China is first.) The standard of living of millions of people is improving at a rapid pace.

From the remote countryside to the cities, it is fascinating to witness an economy developing so quickly. It's like looking at one of those medical scale models of the human body minus the skin covering. You can see the equivalent of the arteries, the kidneys, the stomach, the liver -- virtually the whole economic circulation system and digestive tract before your very eyes. Building is going on everywhere. I've never seen so many brick factories in my life. Scooter traffic is intense. Internet cafes and appliance stores abound. All of that activity is cheek to jowl with the agricultural production that still dominates the economy. It's changing fast, but 80 percent of the population is still peasants. One reason the energy is so high is because the country is so young. The overwhelming majority are under 25.

Is it utopia? Of course not. People are proud of the gains that are being made in income, education and health. But no one is shy about telling you there are problems. During part of my trip, I attended a "Consequences of the Changing World Economy" seminar. It was co-hosted by the Ho Chi Minh National Political Academy and the Journal of Nature, Society and Thought, an American Marxist political journal. The scholars of the National Academy spoke quite openly of limitations and problems to be addressed. So did our tour guides, the very well done English language newspaper Viet Nam News, and others.

One Vietnamese speaker at the conference framed the challenge as trying to figure out how to get the good from the "market economy" while avoiding the bad.

Isn't that what we're all trying to figure out?

But the Vietnamese are starting from a quite different place to answer the question. The structure of their economy and their politics -- not to mention their culture -- is decidedly not the same as ours.

What is happening in Vietnam (and in China and Laos, too) is unprecedented in the evolution of economic development of our planet. Never before has a market economy been deliberately introduced into a one-party, state-ruled, socialist economy. This is a significant structural development.

More From: http://www.alternet.org/story/42826/

Tuesday, October 10, 2006

Somali Islamists declare 'holy war' on Ethiopia after town falls

09/10/2006 18h56

MOGADISHU (AFP) - Somalia's powerful Islamist movement declared "holy war" against neighboring Ethiopia after a Muslim-held town near the seat of the weak government fell to Ethiopian and Somali troops.

A day after warning of a regional war if Addis Ababa does not withdraw from Somali territory, the Islamists escalated their rhetoric, vowing to repel Ethiopian soldiers in a tacit warning to the transitional government.

"From today, I am declaring jihad against Ethiopia, which has invaded our country and taken parts of our homeland," said Sheikh Sharif Sheikh Ahmed, chair of the executive committee of the Supreme Islamic Council of Somalia (SICS).

"The jihad is on from now (and) application of that will be directed by the supreme council," he said in Mogadishu, which the Islamists seized in June and have used as a base to expand through most of south and central Somalia.

More from: http://rawstory.com/showarticle.php?src=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.afp.com%2Fenglish%2Fnews%2Fstories%2F061009185615.ostj7a4d.html

Does Bush Think War with Iran Is Preordained?

By Chris Hedges, Truthdig. Posted October 10, 2006.

The Christian right sees an apocalyptic nuclear war with Iran as a vision set forth in the Bible. Bush himself may be a believer, too.

The aircraft carrier Eisenhower, accompanied by the guided-missile cruiser USS Anzio, guided-missile destroyer USS Ramage, guided-missile destroyer USS Mason and the fast-attack submarine USS Newport News, is, as I write, making its way to the Straits of Hormuz off Iran. The ships will be in place to strike Iran by the end of the month. It may be a bluff. It may be a feint. It may be a simple show of American power. But I doubt it.

War with Iran -- a war that would unleash an apocalyptic scenario in the Middle East -- is probable by the end of the Bush administration. It could begin in as little as three weeks. This administration, claiming to be anointed by a Christian God to reshape the world, and especially the Middle East, defined three states at the start of its reign as "the Axis of Evil." They were Iraq, now occupied; North Korea, which, because it has nuclear weapons, is untouchable; and Iran. Those who do not take this apocalyptic rhetoric seriously have ignored the twisted pathology of men like Elliott Abrams, who helped orchestrate the disastrous and illegal contra war in Nicaragua, and who now handles the Middle East for the National Security Council. He knew nothing about Central America. He knows nothing about the Middle East. He sees the world through the childish, binary lens of good and evil, us and them, the forces of darkness and the forces of light. And it is this strange, twilight mentality that now grips most of the civilian planners who are barreling us towards a crisis of epic proportions.

These men advocate a doctrine of permanent war, a doctrine which, as William R. Polk points out, is a slight corruption of Leon Trotsky's doctrine of permanent revolution. These two revolutionary doctrines serve the same function, to intimidate and destroy all those classified as foreign opponents, to create permanent instability and fear and to silence domestic critics who challenge leaders in a time of national crisis. It works. The citizens of the United States, slowly being stripped of their civil liberties, are being herded sheep-like, once again, over a cliff.

But this war will be different. It will be catastrophic. It will usher in the apocalyptic nightmares spun out in the dark, fantastic visions of the Christian right. And there are those around the president who see this vision as preordained by God; indeed, the president himself may hold such a vision.

The hypocrisy of this vaunted moral crusade is not lost on those in the Middle East. Iran actually signed the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty. It has violated a codicil of that treaty written by European foreign ministers, but this codicil was never ratified by the Iranian parliament. I do not dispute Iran's intentions to acquire nuclear weapons nor do I minimize the danger should it acquire them in the estimated five to 10 years. But contrast Iran with Pakistan, India and Israel. These three countries refused to sign the treaty and developed nuclear weapons programs in secret. Israel now has an estimated 400 to 600 nuclear weapons. The word "Dimona," the name of the city where the nuclear facilities are located in Israel, is shorthand in the Muslim world for the deadly Israeli threat to Muslims' existence. What lessons did the Iranians learn from our Israeli, Pakistani and Indian allies?

Continued: http://www.alternet.org/story/42774/

Monday, October 09, 2006

American Prison Camps Are on the Way

By Marjorie Cohn, AlterNet. Posted October 9, 2006.


Kellogg Brown & Root, a Halliburton subsidiary, is constructing a huge facility at an undisclosed location to hold tens of thousands of Bush's "unlawful enemy combatants." Americans are certain to be among them.

The Military Commissions Act of 2006 governing the treatment of detainees is the culmination of relentless fear-mongering by the Bush administration since the September 11 terrorist attacks.

Because the bill was adopted with lightning speed, barely anyone noticed that it empowers Bush to declare not just aliens, but also U.S. citizens, "unlawful enemy combatants."

Bush & Co. has portrayed the bill as a tough way to deal with aliens to protect us against terrorism. Frightened they might lose their majority in Congress in the November elections, the Republicans rammed the bill through Congress with little substantive debate.

Anyone who donates money to a charity that turns up on Bush's list of "terrorist" organizations, or who speaks out against the government's policies could be declared an "unlawful enemy combatant" and imprisoned indefinitely. That includes American citizens.

The bill also strips habeas corpus rights from detained aliens who have been declared enemy combatants. Congress has the constitutional power to suspend habeas corpus only in times of rebellion or invasion. The habeas-stripping provision in the new bill is unconstitutional and the Supreme Court will likely say so when the issue comes before it.

Although more insidious, this law follows in the footsteps of other unnecessarily repressive legislation. In times of war and national crisis, the government has targeted immigrants and dissidents.

In 1798, the Federalist-led Congress, capitalizing on the fear of war, passed the four Alien and Sedition Acts to stifle dissent against the Federalist Party's political agenda. The Naturalization Act extended the time necessary for immigrants to reside in the U.S. because most immigrants sympathized with the Republicans.

The Alien Enemies Act provided for the arrest, detention and deportation of male citizens of any foreign nation at war with the United States. Many of the 25,000 French citizens living in the U.S. could have been expelled had France and America gone to war, but this law was never used. The Alien Friends Act authorized the deportation of any non-citizen suspected of endangering the security of the U.S. government; the law lasted only two years and no one was deported under it.

The Sedition Act provided criminal penalties for any person who wrote, printed, published, or spoke anything "false, scandalous and malicious" with the intent to hold the government in "contempt or disrepute." The Federalists argued it was necessary to suppress criticism of the government in time of war. The Republicans objected that the Sedition Act violated the First Amendment, which had become part of the Constitution seven years earlier. Employed exclusively against Republicans, the Sedition Act was used to target congressmen and newspaper editors who criticized President John Adams.

Subsequent examples of laws passed and actions taken as a result of fear-mongering during periods of xenophobia are the Espionage Act of 1917, the Sedition Act of 1918, the Red Scare following World War I, the forcible internment of people of Japanese descent during World War II, and the Alien Registration Act of 1940 (the Smith Act).

During the McCarthy period of the 1950s, in an effort to eradicate the perceived threat of communism, the government engaged in widespread illegal surveillance to threaten and silence anyone who had an unorthodox political viewpoint. Many people were jailed, blacklisted and lost their jobs. Thousands of lives were shattered as the FBI engaged in "red-baiting." One month after the terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001, United States Attorney General John Ashcroft rushed the U.S.A. Patriot Act through a timid Congress. The Patriot Act created a crime of domestic terrorism aimed at political activists who protest government policies, and set forth an ideological test for entry into the United States.

In 1944, the Supreme Court upheld the legality of the internment of Japanese and Japanese-American citizens in Korematsu v. United States. Justice Robert Jackson warned in his dissent that the ruling would "lie about like a loaded weapon ready for the hand of any authority that can bring forward a plausible claim of an urgent need."

That day has come with the Military Commissions Act of 2006. It provides the basis for the President to round-up both aliens and U.S. citizens he determines have given material support to terrorists. Kellogg Brown & Root, a subsidiary of Cheney's Halliburton, is constructing a huge facility at an undisclosed location to hold tens of thousands of undesirables.

In his 1928 dissent in Olmstead v. United States, Justice Louis Brandeis cautioned, "The greatest dangers to liberty lurk in insidious encroachment by men of zeal, well meaning but without understanding." Seventy-three years later, former White House spokesman Ari Fleischer, speaking for a zealous President, warned Americans "they need to watch what they say, watch what they do."

We can expect Bush to continue to exploit 9/11 to strip us of more of our liberties. Our constitutional right to dissent is in serious jeopardy. Benjamin Franklin's prescient warning should give us pause: "They who would give up an essential liberty for temporary security, deserve neither liberty or security."

Marjorie Cohn, a professor at Thomas Jefferson School of Law, is president-elect of the National Lawyers Guild, and the U.S. representative to the executive committee of the American Association of Jurists. Her new book, "Cowboy Republic: Six Ways the Bush Gang Has Defied the Law," will be published in 2007 by PoliPointPress.

Sunday, October 08, 2006

One Thousand Reasons
Documenting the Failures of the Bush Administration

Here is very depressing website that lists every United States Soldier Killed in George Bush's Wars

http://www.thousandreasons.org/wardead.php

Check it out
Reading for Radicals
Travel Guide for the Intellectual Explorer
There are millions of books, magazines and movies available to the curious mind.
To save you from wasting your time reading bad books or watching awful movies,
I've pulled together a listing of some of the most accessible and insightful material
available in history, psychology and other important topic areas.

Psychology/Human Nature/Society


History/Politics

Audio/video:

____________________________________

Economics/Globalization

Crime/Justice

Audio/video:

____________________________________

Science/Ecology

Audio/video:

Activism/Social Change:


____________________________________

Some Cool Tunes
(to listen to while you're reading)
  • “World on Fire” by Sarah McLaughlin
  • “Oh My God” by Michael Franti and Spearhead
  • “Right here, right now” by Jesus Jones
  • “Pride (One)” by U2
  • “The World I Know” by Collective Soul
  • “Every State Line” by Ani Difranco
  • “Mother” by Pink Floyd
  • “Imagine” by John Lennon
  • “We Didn't Start the Fire” by Billy Joel
  • “Saltwater” by Julian Lennon
  • “Gulf War Song","River Valley” by Moxy Fruvous
  • "World Falls" by Indigo Girls
  • “Learn to fly” by Foo Fighters


Who made this list and why?
This list was made by me (Matt Howes) with help from other professional activists and various friends. An MIT graduate in environmental engineering, I've worked for the American Civil Liberties Union and Media Matters. A self-confessed bookworm, I've also travelled a great deal (including ten months in China) and done internships with the Worldwatch Institute, a leprosy hospital in eastern India, and the United Nations Environment Program in Nairobi, Kenya.

I've spent a lot of time reading bad books. To save other progressives time, I compiled this list
and will continue to evolve it as I find more great books -- by stumbling onto them on my own or thanks to recommendations. Have a suggestion or comment? Click here to email me.